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He was beating her in 50% of the polls before he even announced. He's the media darling. The fact that he has almost no political experiance doesn't seem to matter to the media... he seems to be a walking God to the mainstream media.

but...

If he does well enough in the first few primarys, gets his message (that is a good one from what I have read) out to the people in a clear and sincere way without somehow getting shot in the head while doing a speach in the south...

He has a good chance.

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1. No.

2. Yes.

3. Yes.

(details)

1. His name is one letter away from Osama. That's gonna work against him, sadly... He clearly thinks like a "senator" instead of a "president," and that's gonna work against him. Check his official website: He's all up on the vox populi and people haven't been comfortable with that since the Clinton administration. He doesn't sound pissed off enough.

2. I think he's a good candidate for the same reasons he won't get elected. I'm disappointed that he doesn't take a firm stance on civil rights on his website (yet), and I'm sure that since he's a Democrat, I'll disagree with him on Affirmative Action. Unless he has a spine, in which case, he's got my vote with almost no further contemplation.

3. I like him better than any of the other candidates so far.

Gaf- It appears he was a State senator while Hillary's husband was still in office. That's more than enough political experience for me.

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BF, thats still not a great deal of experiance... and as you said... He talks like a senator.. not a President.

dubya has been a "president" his whole life.

and as for the "talking like a senator" thing, that's why he SHOULD be a president. but we're brainwashed now. we want a man of ACTION who will tell us what to do and think and how to be and what's right and wrong and who we're gonna blow up next, not a man who's gonna ASK us what we think is right.

someone to claim us, someone to follow

someone to shame us, some brave apollo

someone to fool us, someone like you

we want you big brother, big brother...

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Well, thats a problem. I think it's our perception of who and what the President is and is sopposed to be.

Faced with the reality of the moment, with all the relavent information that is availible... He/She has to make decisions, most of them are really hard.. because they affect billions...

Senators talk and debate. Then do it some more. Sometimes, they manage to talk until enough of them agree to stop debating long enough to vote on some subject. On a rare occasion they get a good enough vote to actually do something.

Senators don't make Presidents.

really, How many actually have?

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Well, thats a problem. I think it's our perception of who and what the President is and is sopposed to be.

Faced with the reality of the moment, with all the relavent information that is availible... He/She has to make decisions, most of them are really hard.. because they affect billions...

Senators talk and debate. Then do it some more. Sometimes, they manage to talk until enough of them agree to stop debating long enough to vote on some subject. On a rare occasion they get a good enough vote to actually do something.

Senators don't make Presidents.

really, How many actually have?

senators make decisions every time they vote. it's not that they CAN'T make personal decisions. if anything, being forced to argue one's opinion time and again on the senate floor would make one more sure of the ethics and logic behind his standpoint.

not sure how many senators have succeeded to presidency.

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I'm hoping that what Rolling Stone opines in the current issue happens.

That Al Gore is biding his time, and is going to allow Obama and Clinton to bash each other senseless in the running - and then jump in at the last minute and say, "what the heck - how's bout me?"

Word is things could go very, very well for him if he does this.

Frankly, I don't think either Obama or Clinton could beat Giuliani or McCain if they run. Too much "new" for the average American methinks.

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ya know fierce critter... that would just be too cool if that happened that way... just as long as Kerry don't try running... but unfortunately, I'm not holding my breath... If Gore hops in at any time, I'm instantly voting for him no questions down, I voted for him last time he ran, and I'll vote for him again.

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Do you think he'll beat out Mrs. Clinton?

Do you think he's a good candidate?

Would YOU vote for him?

I'm going to stay out of the debate in this forum.

(To quote Bill Maher-"NEW RULE" --- Eternal will not debate Gaf or Blackmail (he's baaack!) because his views are polar opposite to them and to fight is about as productive as masturbating with a chainsaw--a little less bloody though)

It's really hard to speculate at this point.

Here's the thing:

Primaries appeal to the base, which is usually much father left or right(for GOP) than who votes in the general election.

Hillary still won't say her decision to get into Iraq was a mistake (Edwards is making political hay of it)

She doesn't seem to take too many stands.

She tends to be polarizing, even among Dems

AND

Obama is taking away some of the suburban female vote Clinton covets.

The ace up her sleeve.

MONEY! Lots of it!

And connections that makes her a virtual printing press for greenbacks.

________________________________________________________________________________

__

Obama-

He was against the war in 2002.

2/3 think the war was a mistake

3/4 think its going poorly

He has keen insight

He's very sharp

(His book Audacity of Hope is GOOD)

He knows how to build bridges, not polarize and burn them.

I personally think he'd be great for our country, and Id seriously consider voting for him.

AND.

I think America's more ready for a Black man in the white house than a woman.

We won't discuss it as openly as the whole Osama/Obama thing but,

We like a strong leader and strong women are still painted out to be sexless opportunistic shrews.

(Just ask someone who dislikes Hillary)

Sexism is more subtle, but I think it runs deeper than racism.

at the same time--

he doesn't have the money tree she does.

Blacks are turning on him.

I'm going to wait and see what happens with Gore and Edwards, before I make a final decision.

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I don't think the people who vote will make a woman or a black man thier choice....although I would vote for one or the other If I actually thought they could get the job done and trusted them (I don't)

Mainstream america.....or even just the underlying powers that be.....won't let that happen.

Yet.

sadly, you're right about people being judgmental on race and sex.

happily, the guy's not *black*... he's mixed. all other things being equal, he'd probably be slightly more popular than a guy who was darker skinned.

hah. people suck.

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what do you mean, "get a chance?"

and aren't you a registered republican? i'm liking this guy more and more...

I'm loyal to my values as an American, Love, not to any particular party or agenda and so I vote accordingly and do the best I can....plus, I like his shoes.

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I don't think the people who vote will make a woman or a black man thier choice....although I would vote for one or the other If I actually thought they could get the job done and trusted them (I don't)

Mainstream america.....or even just the underlying powers that be.....won't let that happen.

Yet.

can you clarify this one for me HH?

are you saying you dont trust a woman or a balck man in office or that you dont trust these two in particular?

just wondering...

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